{"id":5276,"date":"2026-08-21T16:50:03","date_gmt":"2026-08-21T16:50:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/?p=5276"},"modified":"2026-08-21T16:50:03","modified_gmt":"2026-08-21T16:50:03","slug":"nje-tjeter-vale-e-nxehte-do-vera-kete-vit-nuk-ka-ndermend-te-largohet-ja-sa-do-te-shkojne-temperaturat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/nje-tjeter-vale-e-nxehte-do-vera-kete-vit-nuk-ka-ndermend-te-largohet-ja-sa-do-te-shkojne-temperaturat\/","title":{"rendered":"Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr val\u00eb e nxeht\u00eb do&#8230;\/ Vera k\u00ebt\u00eb vit nuk ka nd\u00ebrmend t\u00eb largohet, ja sa do t\u00eb shkojn\u00eb temperaturat"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Fenomeni El Ni\u00f1o q\u00eb po zhvillohet n\u00eb Oqeanin Paq\u00ebsor mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb i fuqishmi i regjistruar n\u00eb koh\u00ebt moderne, paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt e Met Office, sh\u00ebrbimit meteorologjik britanik.<\/p>\n<div id=\"reneb-1321339227\" class=\"reneb-ads-bf-pg-2 reneb-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-1904712365933003\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ad-vs -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:inline-block;width:336px;height:280px\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1904712365933003\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"8454643277\"\r\n     data-page-url=\"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><p>Fenomeni natyror klimatik pritet t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb rritjen e temperaturave mesatare globale dhe t\u00eb shtoj\u00eb rrezikun p\u00ebr episode t\u00eb motit ekstrem. I kombinuar me efektet e ndryshimeve klimatike t\u00eb shkaktuara nga aktiviteti njer\u00ebzor,<\/p>\n<div id=\"reneb-3536692556\" class=\"reneb-ads-bf-pg-3 reneb-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-1904712365933003\"\r\n     crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- ad-vs -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:inline-block;width:336px;height:280px\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-1904712365933003\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"8454643277\"\r\n     data-page-url=\"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><p>El Ni\u00f1o mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb vitin 2027 shum\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm si vitin m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb t\u00eb regjistruar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb, duke tejkaluar rekordin aktual t\u00eb vitit 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNj\u00eb fenomen i paprecedent\u00eb\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Adam Scaife, drejtues i parashikimeve afatgjata n\u00eb Met Office, e ka cil\u00ebsuar situat\u00ebn si \u201cnj\u00eb ngjarje t\u00eb paprecedent\u00eb\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cUn\u00eb nuk kam par\u00eb kurr\u00eb nj\u00eb sinjal t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o kaq intensiv n\u00eb parashikimet tona\u201d, \u00ebsht\u00eb shprehur ai.<\/p>\n<p>Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave m\u00eb t\u00eb fundit, temperaturat e sip\u00ebrfaqes s\u00eb detit n\u00eb nj\u00eb zon\u00eb ky\u00e7e t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit jan\u00eb aktualisht m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 2\u00b0C mbi mesataren. Parashikimet sugjerojn\u00eb se anomalit\u00eb e temperatur\u00ebs mund t\u00eb kalojn\u00eb 3\u00b0C m\u00eb von\u00eb gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti, nd\u00ebrsa El Ni\u00f1o arrin kulmin.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00ebse kjo ndodh, do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb nivel i paprecedent\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat q\u00eb datojn\u00eb q\u00eb nga viti 1950 dhe, sipas ekspert\u00ebve, potencialisht fenomeni m\u00eb i fuqish\u00ebm i k\u00ebtij lloji q\u00eb prej shekullit XIX.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb disa zona t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit, temperaturat e uj\u00ebrave n\u00eb thell\u00ebsi jan\u00eb rreth 8\u00b0C mbi normalen, n\u00eb nj\u00eb thell\u00ebsi prej af\u00ebrsisht 100 metrash. Kjo sasi e madhe nxeht\u00ebsie mund t\u00eb veproj\u00eb si nj\u00eb rezervuar energjie, duke e forcuar m\u00eb tej El Ni\u00f1o-n.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7far\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o?<\/p>\n<p>El Ni\u00f1o \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fenomen natyror klimatik q\u00eb shfaqet zakonisht \u00e7do dy deri n\u00eb shtat\u00eb vjet dhe zgjat rreth nj\u00eb vit.<\/p>\n<p>Gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb episodi El Ni\u00f1o, er\u00ebrat tregtare q\u00eb zakonisht fryjn\u00eb nga lindja drejt per\u00ebndimit p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit dob\u00ebsohen, madje n\u00eb disa raste mund t\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb drejtim. Si pasoj\u00eb, uj\u00ebrat e ngrohta zhvendosen drejt lindjes.<\/p>\n<p>Nxeht\u00ebsia e akumuluar n\u00eb oqean \u00e7lirohet n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb, duke ndikuar n\u00eb temperatur\u00ebn globale dhe duke ndryshuar modelet e reshjeve n\u00eb shum\u00eb rajone t\u00eb bot\u00ebs.<\/p>\n<p>Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt e klasifikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb situat\u00eb si El Ni\u00f1o kur temperatura e sip\u00ebrfaqes s\u00eb detit n\u00eb nj\u00eb zon\u00eb t\u00eb caktuar t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 0.5\u00b0C mbi mesataren. Aktualisht, anomalit\u00eb jan\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb larta.<\/p>\n<p>Pasoja n\u00eb motin global<\/p>\n<p>Ndikimi i El Ni\u00f1o-s nuk kufizohet vet\u00ebm n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor. Ndryshimet n\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarjen e nxeht\u00ebsis\u00eb dhe n\u00eb modelet e er\u00ebrave atmosferike mund t\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb motin n\u00eb kontinente t\u00eb ndryshme.<\/p>\n<p>Ekspert\u00ebt kan\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb re tashm\u00eb disa sinjale q\u00eb mund t\u00eb lidhen me fenomenin. N\u00eb Azin\u00eb Jugore, p\u00ebr shembull, reshjet e musonit n\u00eb Indi kan\u00eb qen\u00eb n\u00ebn mesataren gjat\u00eb vitit 2026.<\/p>\n<p>N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, ndryshimet n\u00eb modelet e er\u00ebrave mbi Karaibe dhe Atlantikun tropikal mund t\u00eb ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb aktivitetin e uraganeve.<\/p>\n<p>Pasojat e mundshme jan\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme sipas rajoneve:<\/p>\n<p>-Australia mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me rrezik m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb p\u00ebr that\u00ebsira dhe zjarre.<\/p>\n<p>Peruja dhe Ekuadori mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb rrezik t\u00eb shtuar p\u00ebr reshje intensive dhe p\u00ebrmbytje.<\/p>\n<p>-Jugu i SHBA-s\u00eb zakonisht p\u00ebrjeton m\u00eb shum\u00eb reshje gjat\u00eb episodeve t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o-s.<\/p>\n<p>-Disa zona t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs s\u00eb Jugut, Afrik\u00ebs qendrore, Azis\u00eb Juglindore dhe Australis\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb thata.<\/p>\n<p>Megjithat\u00eb, ekspert\u00ebt theksojn\u00eb se asnj\u00eb episod El Ni\u00f1o nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb identik me tjetrin, ndaj pasojat konkrete mund t\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Po Shqip\u00ebria dhe Europa?<\/p>\n<p>Edhe pse El Ni\u00f1o nuk konsiderohet shkaku kryesor i val\u00ebve t\u00eb t\u00eb nxehtit q\u00eb kan\u00eb karakterizuar ver\u00ebn e k\u00ebtij viti, ndikimi i tij mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhet m\u00eb i duksh\u00ebm gjat\u00eb vjesht\u00ebs dhe fillimit t\u00eb dimrit.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00ebr Europ\u00ebn veriper\u00ebndimore, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Britanin\u00eb e Madhe, parashikimet tregojn\u00eb mund\u00ebsi m\u00eb t\u00eb larta p\u00ebr moti t\u00eb lag\u00ebsht dhe t\u00eb stuhish\u00ebm.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb dhe Ballkanin, ndikimi i El Ni\u00f1o-s \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb kompleks dhe nuk mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrkthehet drejtp\u00ebrdrejt n\u00eb nj\u00eb parashikim t\u00eb caktuar p\u00ebr reshje apo temperatura. Kushtet lokale dhe faktor\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb atmosferik\u00eb do t\u00eb jen\u00eb vendimtar\u00eb p\u00ebr motin n\u00eb rajon.<\/p>\n<p>2027 mund t\u00eb thyej\u00eb rekordin e temperaturave<\/p>\n<p>Nj\u00eb nga shqet\u00ebsimet kryesore t\u00eb ekspert\u00ebve lidhet me temperaturat globale.<\/p>\n<p>Gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb episodi El Ni\u00f1o, sasi t\u00eb m\u00ebdha nxeht\u00ebsie kalojn\u00eb nga oqeani n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb. Ky proces mund t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb temperatur\u00ebs mesatare globale, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht gjat\u00eb vitit kalendarik q\u00eb pason kulmin e fenomenit.<\/p>\n<p>P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, shkenc\u00ebtari i klim\u00ebs n\u00eb Met Office, Nick Dunstone, vler\u00ebson se 2027 ka shum\u00eb gjasa t\u00eb z\u00ebvend\u00ebsoj\u00eb vitin 2024 si viti m\u00eb i nxeht\u00eb i regjistruar ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb.<\/p>\n<p>Disa grupe t\u00eb tjera k\u00ebrkimore kan\u00eb parashikuar nj\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm, me anomali q\u00eb mund t\u00eb arrijn\u00eb deri n\u00eb 4\u00b0C mbi mesataren n\u00eb zon\u00ebn p\u00ebrkat\u00ebse t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit.<\/p>\n<p>Sipas klimatologut Zeke Hausfather, n\u00ebse nj\u00eb skenar i till\u00eb do t\u00eb realizohej, nuk do t\u00eb ishte e pamundur q\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebhej fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb nga episodet m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme t\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o-s t\u00eb 500 apo edhe 1,000 viteve t\u00eb fundit, megjith\u00ebse p\u00ebr periudha kaq t\u00eb gjata nuk ka t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb mjaftueshme p\u00ebr nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim t\u00eb sigurt.<\/p>\n<p>Rrezik edhe p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb ushqimore<\/p>\n<p>Pasojat nuk pritet t\u00eb jen\u00eb vet\u00ebm meteorologjike. Organizata e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara p\u00ebr Ushqimin dhe Bujq\u00ebsin\u00eb (FAO) ka paralajm\u00ebruar se El Ni\u00f1o mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoj\u00eb dhjet\u00ebra miliona njer\u00ebz n\u00eb vendet m\u00eb t\u00eb ekspozuara, duke rritur rrezikun e pasiguris\u00eb ushqimore n\u00eb nivele kritike.<\/p>\n<p>Nd\u00ebrsa fenomeni vazhdon t\u00eb zhvillohet, ekspert\u00ebt do t\u00eb monitorojn\u00eb nga af\u00ebr temperaturat e Paq\u00ebsorit dhe ndikimin e tyre n\u00eb modelet atmosferike globale. Intensiteti p\u00ebrfundimtar i El Ni\u00f1o-s dhe pasojat e tij do t\u00eb b\u00ebhen m\u00eb t\u00eb qarta gjat\u00eb muajve n\u00eb vijim.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fenomeni El Ni\u00f1o q\u00eb po zhvillohet n\u00eb Oqeanin Paq\u00ebsor mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb i fuqishmi i regjistruar n\u00eb koh\u00ebt moderne, paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt e Met Office, sh\u00ebrbimit meteorologjik britanik. Fenomeni natyror klimatik pritet t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb rritjen<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[84],"tags":[101,1535,1794],"class_list":["post-5276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-te-fundit","tag-moti","tag-shba","tag-xix"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5276","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5276"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5276\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5277,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5276\/revisions\/5277"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reneba-r.ch\/wp\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}